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	<title>Bringing Heat &#187; Adam Wainwright</title>
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		<title>Cards Starters Dominant</title>
		<link>http://www.bringingheat.com/2010/04/cards-starters-dominant.html/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bringingheat.com/2010/04/cards-starters-dominant.html/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Apr 2010 13:24:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>pat.erickson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[MLB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[St. Louis Cardinals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adam Wainwright]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[chris Carpenter]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bringingheat.com/?p=2398</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If anyone was worried about the St. Louis Cardinals rotation beyond the big 2 you can stop worrying. Quite simply these guys may be the best rotation in baseball. The rotation has put together seven straight starts of 7+ innings in which they have allowed two or fewer earned runs. It has happened one other [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If anyone was worried about the St. Louis Cardinals rotation beyond the big 2 you can stop worrying.</p>
<p>Quite simply these guys may be the best rotation in baseball.</p>
<p>The rotation has put together seven straight starts of 7+ innings in which they have allowed two or fewer earned runs. It has happened one other time for the franchise the last 55 years.</p>
<p>The ERA is a league best 2.12.</p>
<p>Everyone knows that Adam Wainwright and Chris Carpenter are two of the best four starters in the NL along with Tim Lincecum and Roy Halladay, but there were questions about the rest of the rotation.</p>
<p>Brad Penny was signed as the third starter to replace Joel Piniero, who was magnificent last year, and has looked excellent so far. After allowing two first inning runs against the Diamondbacks yesterday he didnt allow any his final 6 innings and the Cards rallied for a 4-2 win.</p>
<p>Kyle Lohse may still not be as good as he was in his debut Cardinals season, but even if he averages his current 4.15 ERA the rest of the year it is more than acceptable for the #4 slot and will win a ton of ball games with the St. Louis offense.</p>
<p>And lastly Jamie Garcia has been a revelation through two starts. Sure it is early, but one run allowed in 13 innings is pretty good. Especially since in his first start Garcia decided not to even use his curveball and dominated solely with a fastball and changeup.</p>
<p>Injuries are the one thing that could derail this unit. Carpenter has a list a mile long of career injuries. Wainwright is the least prone of the bunch, but even he has had minor-to-medium afflictions over the past couple seasons. Penny has had his share of elbow problems. Lohse missed a good chunk of last year, and Garcia is in his first full year following Tommy John surgery.</p>
<p>If the rotation is healthy though, look out. There may not be a better group in baseball. </p>
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		<title>Top 100 Fantasy Starting Pitchers</title>
		<link>http://www.bringingheat.com/2010/02/top-100-fantasy-starting-pitchers.html/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bringingheat.com/2010/02/top-100-fantasy-starting-pitchers.html/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Feb 2010 14:05:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tony Andracki</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fantasy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MLB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adam Wainwright]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brandon Webb]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[C.C. Sabathia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[chris Carpenter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Clayton Kershaw]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cliff Lee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cole Hamels]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dan Haren]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Felix Hernandez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jake Peavy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Javy Vazquez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jered Weaver]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Johan Santana]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Lackey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jon Lester]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Josh Beckett]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Josh Johnson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Justin Verlander]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt Cain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Roy Halladay]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Roy Oswalt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tim Lincecum]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tommy Hanson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Top Fantasy Starting Pitchers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yovani Gallardo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Zack Greinke]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bringingheat.com/?p=1835</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Tony Andracki Bringingheat.com Lead Journalist 1. Tim Lincecum SF After two straight NL Cy Young awards, Lincecum is clearly the No. 1 fantasy pitcher. The long-locked little big man has been nothing short of a monster in the fantasy world. His ridiculous strikeout totals are only upstaged by his microscopic ERA and he will rack [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Tony Andracki</span></p>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Bringingheat.com Lead Journalist</span></p>
<p><strong>1. Tim Lincecum SF</strong></p>
<p><strong> </strong>After two straight NL Cy Young awards, Lincecum is clearly the No. 1 fantasy pitcher. The long-locked little big man has been nothing short of a monster in the fantasy world. His ridiculous strikeout totals are only upstaged by his microscopic ERA and he will rack up innings, wins and low WHIP (Walks + Hits / Innings Pitched). You can draft with confidence. The only risk at this point is injury, and despite his crazy, herky-jerky motion, this dude is as cool as the other side of the pillow (thanks Stuart Scott!). Tony Andracki</p>
<p><strong>2. Felix Hernandez SEA</strong></p>
<p>King Felix finally, FINALLY, backed up his immense hype over a full season. 200 strikeouts, 230+ innings, 19 wins (on a sub-.500 team), a 2.49 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP make for a No. 1 fantasy starter, except that that spot is occupied by Lincecum, who is on another level of pitchers. However, considering he will just be 24 shortly after opening day, the King is the rightful heir to the No. 1 spot if Lincecum should ever fall to injury. You hear that Ludacris, King Felix is coming for that No. 1 spot, too…</p>
<p><strong>3. Zack Greinke KC</strong></p>
<p>How impressive was Greinke in ’09? After battling social anxiety disorder (it’s sometimes easy to forget that professional athletes are real people, too, isn’t it?), Greinke came back to win the AL Cy Young with an incredible season. Assuming he doesn’t have any setbacks psychologically, with his insane talent, Greinke will be a Top 3 fantasy pitcher again. Throw in the fact that he is just 26, the KC ace could be your fantasy ace from years to come. In keeper leagues, you can tie him up for close to a decade before he should start to become an unserviceable starter. Whatever way you look at it, Greinke certainly creates some anxiety for opposing managers and fantasy owners. Scoop him up.</p>
<p><strong>4. Roy Halladay PHI</strong></p>
<p>Let me paint you a picture: Roy Halladay has averaged 243 innings, a 2.78 ERA, 207 Ks and 18.5 wins over the past two seasons with 18 total complete games, including six shutouts. All of that has come in the AL East, arguably the toughest division to pitch in, and with a middle-of-the pack offense supporting him. His move to Philadelphia could pay off in a HUGE way, considering Philly’s defense is better than Toronto’s and their offense is one of the best in recent history. He could easily approach his career-high 22 wins. Consider also that recent pitchers have found great success moving from the AL to the NL, including Cliff Lee and Javy Vazquez last year, and you have yourself an equation you can’t turn away from. Halladay only ranks fourth on this list because of his advanced age (32) compared to those three above him, who are all better options in keeper leagues.</p>
<p><strong>5. Justin Verlander DET</strong></p>
<p>Verlander has had some ups and downs in his career, but last year, he was out of this world, leading the Majors in wins, Ks and innings pitched. He’s been a supreme talent since he entered the league with his triple-digit fastball, but his 2008 season (17 losses, 4.84 ERA) was not even worthy of a No. 5 starter. However, that was a fluke based on the rest of his season totals and he sure harnessed his talent last year. Plus, something has to be said for his durability, making at least 30 starts in four straight seasons and totaling over 200 innings pitched the past three years. His ERA is nothing to write home about, but he should again be in the mid-3 range.</p>
<p><strong>6. Dan Haren ARI</strong></p>
<p>Haren’s first half last year: 18 starts, 9-5, 2.01 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 129 Ks in 130 IP, and just 16 walks and 12 homers allowed. His second half: 15 starts, 5-5, 4.62 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 94 Ks in 99.1 IP and 22 walks and 15 homers allowed. However, his final numbers weren’t even that bad: 14-10, 3.14 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 223 Ks in 229 IP. Those are still top notch numbers, albeit, not first-round totals. He’s a nice option all things considered, and with Brandon Webb returning to the rotation, Haren might find a little bit more pressure off his shoulders and he can put together two halves that mirror his first-half totals. If not, at least you got yourself an ace in the third or fourth round considering his draft stock has to be down after his poor second half.</p>
<p><strong>7. C.C. Sabathia NYY</strong></p>
<p>Sabathia has been all over the place the past couple of years, but just in location. His production has remained relatively the same—240 or so innings, roughly 200 strikeouts, complete games, shutouts, 17-19 wins and an ERA ranging from 2.70-3.37. Expect more of the same this year. He’s a consistent performer, so you know what you’re going to get from the 30-year-old.</p>
<p><strong>8. Jon Lester BOS</strong></p>
<p>The 26-year-old southpaw has had quite the career, one worthy of a Hollywood movie, or at the very least, a novel. His latest chapter, 2009, saw his strikeouts rise drastically and consequently, his stock has also risen. For the first time in his Major League career, Lester had more strikeouts than innings pitched, totaling 225 whiffs in 203.1 innings. Considering his career progression already, who knows what his true ceiling is. Throw in the all-world offense behind him and a great supporting staff around him in the pitching staff, Lester should, at the very least, reach last year’s totals.</p>
<p><strong>9. Johan Santana NYM</strong></p>
<p>This is the first year in almost a decade that Johan is not considered one of the elite starting pitchers heading into the season. After a down 2009 season in which he saw his batting average against  rise (.244) to the highest total he has ever given up over a full season, as well as rising walk totals, decreasing velocity and an elbow injury that shut him down over the season’s final months. After his trade to the Mets, Santana was presumed to see an uptick in his overall numbers moving to the NL and facing opposing pitchers and pinch hitters instead of the DH, but he has actually worsened fantasywise. His two seasons in New York have been the only two years in which he has not had more strikeouts than innings pitched. However, with all that being said, Santana is still one of the game’s best pitchers. Those drawbacks are only drawbacks from his traditional numbers. He will still rack up the strikeouts, complete a few games, and with the Mets offense, should garner 16-20 wins. Not to mention his ERA has never been worse than 3.33 over a full season.</p>
<p><strong>10. Adam Wainwright STL</strong></p>
<p>The 6-foot-7 skyscraper has seen his career progress much like Lester’s—with a lot of storybook moments. Last season was no exception as he turned in by far his best season in the Majors, leading the league in wins and innings pitched. His 212 strikeouts were slightly unexpected, but have become a part of his game now. You shouldn’t expect his 2.63 ERA to continue, but he’s obviously shown he is capable of reaching that lofty number over a full season, so it’s not out of the question.</p>
<p><strong>11. Cliff Lee SEA</strong></p>
<p>After his incredible 2008 campaign where he came out of nowhere to capture the AL Cy Young award, Lee turned in a very solid 2009 season. He is on his third team in the past nine months, and the move to Seattle, despite the spacious ballpark, will decrease his value slightly. The Mariners’ offense is nowhere near what Philly’s was, so his win total may go down, but expecting something around his 2009 numbers would not be unwise.</p>
<p><strong>12. Brandon Webb ARI </strong></p>
<p>If you throw out the 2009 season, Webb would be at least a top 10 pitcher. He strikes out 180 guys a year, throws 230 or so innings, turns in a really solid ERA in the 3.00-3.30 range with 18-20 wins. However, you can’t throw out 2009 just because of the severity of the shoulder injury he suffered. He just started throwing off a mound again and there’s no absolute guarantee that he will be 100 percent by opening day. He is just 30 still, so he has time to rebound, but be at least a little bit wary coming off a serious injury. However, since people will be wary, he could fall in many drafts, so scoop him up if he makes it past the sixth round or so.</p>
<p><strong>13. Josh Beckett BOS</strong></p>
<p>Beckett can be your fantasy ace, but he may not even need to be considering most leagues are 12 teams or less. Whatever team ends up with him as their No. 2 starter is sitting pretty, prettier than Amanda Bynes looks lately. Beckett will get you plenty of strikeouts and wins while racking up 200 innings and turning in an ERA under 4.00 most likely.</p>
<p><strong>14. Yovani Gallardo MIL</strong></p>
<p>The 24-year-old Milwaukee ace is well on his way to becoming a fantasy ace. After a 2009 season in which he averaged 9.91 K/9 innings, Gallardo is emerging as a top end option as starting pitcher. His numbers figure to only get better from here as he continues to develop both physically and mentally, so he’s a very enticing option in keeper leagues as well.</p>
<p><strong>15. Josh Johnson FLA</strong></p>
<p>Johnson has also emerged as one of the top starting pitchers in the game today after a stellar 2009 season that saw him total 15 wins, a 3.23 ERA and 191 strikeouts in 209 innings pitched. He also is near unhittable at times, allowing just a .237 average all year. At just 26, Johnson is also a great option in keeper leagues and he seems to have put his arm troubles in the past for good. He does play for a struggling offense, but his home park is big, so expect 15 or so wins once again with a low ERA.</p>
<p><strong>16. Jake Peavy CWS</strong></p>
<p>One thing is for certain—Peavy will get you strikeouts wherever he pitches, averaging just over a strikeout per inning pitched in his career. He is slightly injury prone, but a full offseason should heal his ankle properly, so he will start 2010 with a slate that is so fresh and so clean, clean. He also is just 28 and will be pitching with an actual, talented offense behind him for the first time in his career. His incredible WHIP and ERA totals may take somewhat of a hit pitching in the American League for a full season for the first time, but he should still be a very good No. 2 fantasy pitcher and could put up ace numbers.</p>
<p><strong>17. Cole Hamels PHI</strong></p>
<p>Everybody was down on Hamels in ’09 because of his inflated ERA and deflated Ks, but expect a full rebound in 2010. He has the talent; 2009 was just a rough year for him. He was a little unlucky, so expect his ERA to come back to earth, although only slightly. His strikeouts will once again be high and he will garner a bunch of wins in the loaded Philadelphia lineup.</p>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
<p><strong>18. John Lackey BOS</strong></p>
<p>If healthy, Lackey is a worthy fantasy ace, although that is a pretty big “if” lately, having not surpassed 30 starts in a season since 2007. In the Boston lineup, he will rack up plenty of wins and will continue to pitch a lot of innings with a low ERA and low WHIP, and even though he won’t reach 200 strikeouts, he will come pretty close. The only thing limiting Lackey right now is his injury prone label, but he could easily shed that.</p>
<p><strong>19. Clayton Kershaw LAD</strong></p>
<p>The 22-year-old Kershaw is here to stay, folks. After his 2009 season (2.79 ERA, 9.7 K/9), Kershaw is quickly moving his way up the ranks of fantasy lists everywhere. Heck, by this time next year, he could easily be in the Top 10. In keeper leagues, he should be a hot commodity with five years before he even hits his prime. Scoop him up now before somebody else beats you to it.</p>
<p><strong>20. Tommy Hanson ATL</strong></p>
<p>SEE: Kershaw, Clayton.</p>
<p>Nah, I’m just playing, I will actually explain a little bit more for Hanson, though he and Kershaw’s rationale will mirror each other’s. Hanson is just the poor man’s Kershaw, however. He’s a righty, but that doesn’t matter in fantasy, he’s a year older (23), and his 2009 ERA and K totals were not as good. However, Hanson will put the “Mmmm Bop!” back in your step if you are able to secure him in a keeper league, because he will be a star for years to come.</p>
<p><strong>21. Roy Oswalt HOU</strong></p>
<p>Oswalt’s 2009 season was not one for the ages. He suffered through some minor injuries and rough luck to post an ERA over 4.00 for the first time in his career and only managed eight wins. But, I wouldn’t worry too much about last year. Houston had an underachieving team all-around, but 2010 should be different for both the Astros and for Oswalt. He will once again return to ace status with a season that mimics more of his 2001-08 numbers.</p>
<p><strong>22. Jered Weaver LAA </strong></p>
<p>After Weaver’s rookie performance in 2006, there was a lot of fantasy hype about the kid, but it proved to be much ado about nothing, that is until last year. Weaver set career highs pretty much across the board and made the Angels feel so comfortable that they let John Lackey walk via free agency and left the throne to Weaver. He will be a very solid No. 2 fantasy pitcher for you in all areas. He doesn’t set the world on fire with strikeouts, but he’s no slouch.</p>
<p><strong>23. Javy Vazquez NYY</strong></p>
<p>Vazquez enjoyed the best year of his career last year pitching for the Braves, but the move back to the AL will definitely raise his ERA. His strikeouts, innings pitched and WHIP totals should only drop slightly. His win total, however, should reach 17-18 with the powerful Yankees lineup behind him. The scary thing is, Vaz gives up a few homers (320 over his career) and I don’t know if you’ve heard, but the new Yankee Stadium gives up a few homers of its own. So, beware, but he should still be a very solid No. 2 or No. 3 fantasy starter.</p>
<p><strong>24. Chris Carpenter STL</strong></p>
<p>The only thing keeping Carp from ace status is his risk, which is VERY high. He has had more arm injuries in the past couple of years than many <em>teams</em> have and he has always been injury prone throughout his career. That being said, Carpenter will give you a very low ERA, lots of wins and a pretty decent strikeout total while keeping his WHIP below 1.10. It’s all high risk/high reward, but it’s worth a shot.</p>
<p><strong>25. Matt Cain SF</strong></p>
<p>In ’07 and ’08, Cain was the product of a lot of bad luck, pitching great in games but still somehow coming up on the losing end. In ’09, he had a lot of good luck, mainly with balls in play. He will likely not post a 2.89 ERA again, though that’s not too much out of the question, but he has decreased his walk totals, so he should once again be a pretty good pitcher in 2010. His declining strikeouts are a little worrisome, because if those go, he is not on a good enough of a team to get a lot of wins, so he would become more obsolete in fantasy circles. He should fit in nicely as the No. 3 starter for some team.</p>
<p>26. A.J. Burnett NYY—Will get a lot of Ks and wins, but inconsistent from year to year</p>
<p>27. James Shields TB—Very solid starter coming off down year, will come cheap</p>
<p>28. Wandy Rodriguez HOU—Expect a dropoff from last year, but still very solid</p>
<p>29. Jair Jurrjens ATL—Again, will drop off from last year, but a great No. 3 starter</p>
<p>30. Chad Billingsley LAD—Will rebound from down year, expect numbers closer to ‘08</p>
<p>31. Ricky Nolasco FLA—Another rebound case, was a different pitcher in 2<sup>nd</sup> half last year</p>
<p>32. Ubaldo Jimenez COL—Young pitcher just getting better and better, lots of Ks</p>
<p>33. Ted Lilly CHC—Always solid, good ERA and win totals</p>
<p>34. Matt Garza TB—Strikeouts are on the rise</p>
<p>35. Chris Young SD—The only question is will he be healthy?</p>
<p>36. Ervin Santana LAA—Derailed by injuries last year, will provide Ks and wins at least</p>
<p>37. Mark Buehrle CWS—Provides wins and really good ERA and WHIP totals</p>
<p>38. Rich Harden TEX—Move back to AL, is dominant fantasy pitcher when healthy</p>
<p>39. Daisuke Matsuzaka BOS—Will rebound from ’09 season, gets lots of Ks and wins</p>
<p>40. Rick Porcello DET—Young guy, will only improve, Ks should increase</p>
<p>41. Gavin Floyd CWS—Solid starter, decent Ks, will get a lot of wins on South Side</p>
<p>42. Erik Bedard SEA—If healthy is a very good starter, but that is a big “if”</p>
<p>43. Carlos Zambrano CHC—Is just a big question mark all around about numbers and attitude</p>
<p>44. Edinson Volquez CIN—Great in fantasy, but coming off arm injury so beware</p>
<p>45. Edwin Jackson ARI—Played slightly over his head in ’09, may benefit from move to NL</p>
<p>46. Ryan Dempster CHC—Will benefit from more consistent offense in ‘10</p>
<p>47. Max Scherzer DET—Great potential, unsure when he will reach it though, could  be in ‘10</p>
<p>48. Scott Kazmir LAA—Really found his groove again in LA, could sustain that all season</p>
<p>49. Brett Myers HOU—Should benefit from change of scenery, always good Ks</p>
<p>50. Scott Baker MIN—Overall very solid starter, ’09 is his ceiling most likely</p>
<p>51. John Danks CWS—Solid ERA and WHIP, will get his fair share of W’s</p>
<p>52. Ben Sheets OAK—High risk/very high reward option</p>
<p>53. Hiroki Kuroda LAD—good ERA with good team leads to wins</p>
<p>54. Andy Pettite NYY—If nothing else, will get plenty of W’s</p>
<p>55. David Price TB—Immense potential, could take step closer to realizing it fully in ‘10</p>
<p>56. Tim Hudson ATL—Rebounding from injury, so some risk here</p>
<p>57. Francisco Liriano MIN—Strong rebound case, I really like him this year</p>
<p>58. Johnny Cueto CIN—Good Ks, is very young, will bounce back</p>
<p>59. Derek Lowe ATL—You know what you’re going to get from Lowe year in, year out</p>
<p>60. Jeff Niemann TB—Very good rookie season, but is a sophomore slump looming?</p>
<p>61. Ricky Romero TOR—Came into his own last year, solid No. 4 starter</p>
<p>62. Kenshin Kawakami ATL—Good No. 4 or No. 5 guy</p>
<p>63. Jonathan Sanchez SF—Real good Ks, had great second half</p>
<p>64. J.A. Happ PHI—Last year was probably his ceiling</p>
<p>65. Brad Penny STL—Could rebound with St. Louis, should at least get wins</p>
<p>66. Kevin Slowey MIN—Worthy of a late round pick in most leagues</p>
<p>67. Joel Pineiro LAA—Solid No. 5 starter, loses value moving to AL</p>
<p>68. Joe Saunders LAA—Guy just knows how to get wins, but that’s all he offers</p>
<p>69. John Maine NYM—Could revert back to ’07 form, but will he? At least offers Ks</p>
<p>70. Jorge De La Rosa COL—Racks up the Ks, but will come with high ERA and WHIP</p>
<p>71. Randy Wells CHC—Last year was probably his ceiling</p>
<p>72. Aaron Harang CIN—Rebound possible, but still scary option based on down ’09 season</p>
<p>73. Wade Davis TB—Performed well in his cup of coffee, but will hit some speed bumps</p>
<p>74. Brad Bergesen BAL—Came into his own last year, decent upside</p>
<p>75. Kevin Millwood BAL—Better in real life than fantasy, will get double digit wins</p>
<p>76. Joe Blanton PHI—Decent option, innings eater and will get some wins</p>
<p>77. Mike Pelfrey NYM—Still very young, has room to grow</p>
<p>78. Gil Meche KC—Coming off down year, should revert back to ’07-08 form</p>
<p>79. Brandon Morrow TOR—Lots of Ks, but injury prone and inconsistent</p>
<p>80. Kevin Correia SD—Is an OK option, but pitches for a real bad offense</p>
<p>81. Ryan Rowland-Smith SEA—Good ERA, decent low-price option</p>
<p>82. Shawn Marcum TOR—Very solid in ’08, but coming off Tommy John surgery</p>
<p>83. Paul Maholm PIT—Not bad, no Ks, pitches for terrible club</p>
<p>84. Randy Wolf MIL—Is overall somewhat solid, but inconsistent year to year</p>
<p>85. Clay Buchholz BOS—Had a very good Sept., but always overshadowed in Boston</p>
<p>86. Jason Marquis WAS—Dependable and picks up some wins, but that’s it</p>
<p>87. Nick Blackburn MIN—4.00 ERA, low Ks, .500 record</p>
<p>88. David Huff CLE—Ended season on hot note, worth a look in AL-only</p>
<p>89. Dallas Braden OAK—Decent option, not many Ks</p>
<p>90. Fausto Carmona CLE—Will he ever revert back to ’07 form? Worth late round pick to find out</p>
<p>91. Barry Zito SF—Eh, best season in SF last year</p>
<p>92. Bud Norris HOU—Real good K potential from a young up-and-comer</p>
<p>93. Aroldis Chapman CIN—Enticing prospect, but that’s it at this point</p>
<p>94. Scott Feldman TEX—Bad at home, good on road</p>
<p>95. Brett Anderson OAK—Good, young option, good Ks</p>
<p>96. Jeremy Guthrie BAL—Has had a real up and down career, worth look only in AL formats</p>
<p>97. Jon Garland SD—Finds ways to get wins, but that will prove tougher in SD</p>
<p>98. Marc Rzepczynski TOR—Good, young potential</p>
<p>99. Chris Tillman/Brian Matusz BAL—Young starters with hype and potential</p>
<p>100. Tommy Hunter/Derek Holland/Matt Harrison TEX—All real young with upside</p>
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		<title>Fluke or Fact: Adam Wainwright</title>
		<link>http://www.bringingheat.com/2010/02/fluke-or-fact-adam-wainwright.html/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bringingheat.com/2010/02/fluke-or-fact-adam-wainwright.html/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Feb 2010 17:06:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matt Milner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[MLB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sabermetrics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[St. Louis Cardinals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adam Wainwright]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joel Pineiro]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bringingheat.com/?p=1799</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Adam Wainwright had an amazing 2009 campaign, posting a 19-8 record and a 2.63 ERA. His peripheral stats were also outstanding. He had an 8.19 K/9, and a 2.55 BB/9 along with a fantastic 1.21 WHIP.  His sabermetric DIPS statistics uphold what the more basic numbers tell us: a 3.11 FIP and a 3.28 tERA [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Adam Wainwright had an amazing 2009 campaign, posting a 19-8 record and a 2.63 ERA. His peripheral stats were also outstanding. He had an 8.19 K/9, and a 2.55 BB/9 along with a fantastic 1.21 WHIP.  His sabermetric DIPS statistics uphold what the more basic numbers tell us: a 3.11 FIP and a 3.28 tERA are both very good. The question now is whether or not his 2009 was for real or just a fluke.</p>
<p>Wainwright has talent, to be sure, and some would say that 2009 was his the first year of him truly realizing his talent. He battled injuries in 2008 and missed a good portion of the season. Of course, we all remember him being a dominant closer for the Cardinals in 2006, including the playoffs, where he recorded the last 3 outs of the World Series. What worries me going forward is his 100 innings pitched jump from ’08 to ’09. That coupled with what are called “inverted W mechanics” could spell injury for Wainwright this season. Then there are the groundballs. He gave up 50% ground balls in 2009, which is 5% higher than his 2008 and well above his previous career average. His fly ball percentage went down due to the increase in ground balls, and I’m just not sure this will continue. Dave Duncan preaches keeping the ball down in the zone as we saw with Joel Pineiro this past season, but a jump that high doesn’t seem sustainable. I think Wainwright is due for some regression or injury. Fantasy owners beware.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Matt Holliday&#8217;s Impact</title>
		<link>http://www.bringingheat.com/2010/02/matt-hollidays-impact.html/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bringingheat.com/2010/02/matt-hollidays-impact.html/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Feb 2010 13:00:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matt Milner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[MLB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adam Wainwright]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alfonso Soriano]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aramis Ramirez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[chris Carpenter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Geovany Soto]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joel Pineiro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt Holliday]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bringingheat.com/?p=1700</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[When Matt Holliday signed with the St. Louis Cardinals, almost every fan and baseball pundit more or less crowned the Cardinals as repeat champs of the National League Central. While I have to give the preseason edge to the Cardinals, I think this division shakes out to be a lot tighter than what most people [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When Matt Holliday signed with the St. Louis Cardinals, almost every fan and baseball pundit more or less crowned the Cardinals as repeat champs of the National League Central. While I have to give the preseason edge to the Cardinals, I think this division shakes out to be a lot tighter than what most people think.</p>
<p>In 2009, the Cardinals were anchored by great pitching from their top 3 in the rotation. Carpenter, Wainwright, and Pineiro had a combined WAR of 16.1. That was tops in the major leagues for top 3 starters. Before the acquisition of Matt Holliday, the Cardinals defense was anemic, scoring only 428 runs in 98 games (4.37 runs per game) and posting a team line of .254/.325/.409/.734. After Holliday was traded, the Cardinals offense took off, scoring 302 runs in the remaining 64 games (4.7 runs per game) and a team line of .275/.343/.423/.766.</p>
<p>Holliday’s presence in the lineup was undoubtedly one of the causes of the offensive jump, as he mashed to the tune of a .353 batting average, .419 on base percentage, and a .604 slugging percentage in his time with the Cards – outstanding production. However, those numbers are going to be extremely difficult for Holliday to reproduce in a full season in St. Louis, and we can’t ignore the production he had in Oakland last season. He was a good player there, but not the offensive powerhouse he was in St. Louis, posting a .286 batting average, a .378 OBP, and a .454 SLG. The power numbers are most noticeable here, and some may think that Oakland’s cavernous dimensions are what caused them to fall. I don’t really buy into that idea, personally. I think he just struggled in his time with Oakland and wasn’t motivated by a bad team that wasn’t in contention.</p>
<p>On the Cardinals’ heels are the Chicago Cubs. After a very disappointing 2009 campaign that was plagued by injuries to key players, the Cubs are poised to again compete in the NL Central. For them, the key is keeping Aramis Ramirez in the lineup for 140+ games. He is the RBI machine in the middle of the lineup that keeps the lineup moving. A line of .300/.375/.515 is not out of the question for him, and that is the kind of production the team needs in the cleanup spot.</p>
<p>Another key player for the Cubs is Alfonso Soriano. Coming off a season in which he was worth negative .7 wins, Soriano has to rebound to the player he was in 2007 and 2008. Something that wasn’t very well documented was Soriano’s knee problem from last year. It plagued him from May until he shut it down in August and got it scoped. A healthy Soriano likely means better production from him.</p>
<p>The last of the disappointing trio of injured players is Geovany Soto. His injury plagued season included a bout with terrible luck. I think we will see the return of his power hitting stroke this year, after he has lost over 40 pounds this offseason. Think production just under his ROY winning 2008 season.</p>
<p>The Central division is likely going to be a dogfight to the last weeks of the season, and it should be exciting to watch.</p>
<p>﻿</p>
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